Here are some data that might be useful. This information is as of September 10, 2008 brought to you by an analyst…
Current Available Listings of ALL homes | 2,061 | |||
QTY (not $) of all homes sold in past 30 days | 393 | |||
Months of Inventory (based on above data) | 5 | |||
Average DOM for ALL homes | 62 | |||
Est monthly % rate of decline (if applicable) | 4% |
For the month of Aug 2008, the market has fallen 3.5% in price (Aug = $633/SF vs July = $656/SF) and 19% in sales volume (Aug = 393 sold vs July = 486 sold). The days on market increased by 19% from 52 DOM (July) to 62 DOM (August). These statistics are consistent with seasonal market trends. July has traditionally been the most active time for Real Estate in SF. Of the 2061 units available, 912 are SFRs and 1149 are condos/TH/TICs. Although SFRs represent a smaller share of the market, there are more REOs than Short Sales for SFRs. Of the 912 SFRs, 43 are REOs and 84 are Short Sales. 13.9% of the SFRs are distressed listings. Of the 1149 condos/TH/TICs, 29 are REOs and 27 are Short Sales. Distressed listings only represent 4.8% of the condo/TH/TICs market. Overall as a county and city, only 8.9% of the market is represented by a distressed listing. These statistics do vary amongst the 10 sub-districts of San Francisco. District 10 is the most severely hit with 24.9% of all active listings being a REO/Short Sale (354 Listings and 86 REOs/Short Sales). District 7 is among the least hit with 0.03% distressed listings (132 listins and 4 REOs/Short Sales). As we approach the fall season, one can expect to see continued price and volume decline.
What do you think? Do you agree or disagree?