Posts Tagged real estate investment

San Francisco Real Estate Report

Here are some data that might be useful.  This information is as of September 10, 2008 brought to you by an analyst…

Current Available Listings of ALL homes 2,061
QTY (not $) of all homes sold in past 30 days 393
Months of Inventory (based on above data) 5
Average DOM for ALL homes 62
Est monthly % rate of decline (if applicable) 4%

For the month of Aug 2008, the market has fallen 3.5% in price (Aug = $633/SF vs July = $656/SF) and 19% in sales volume (Aug = 393 sold vs July = 486 sold). The days on market increased by 19% from 52 DOM (July) to 62 DOM (August). These statistics are consistent with seasonal market trends. July has traditionally been the most active time for Real Estate in SF. Of the 2061 units available, 912 are SFRs and 1149 are condos/TH/TICs.  Although SFRs represent a smaller share of the market, there are more REOs than Short Sales for SFRs. Of the 912 SFRs, 43 are REOs and 84 are Short Sales. 13.9% of the SFRs are distressed listings. Of the 1149 condos/TH/TICs, 29 are REOs and 27 are Short Sales. Distressed listings only represent 4.8% of the condo/TH/TICs market. Overall as a county and city, only 8.9% of the market is represented by a distressed listing. These statistics do vary amongst the 10 sub-districts of San Francisco.   District 10 is the most severely hit with 24.9% of all active listings being a REO/Short Sale (354 Listings and 86 REOs/Short Sales).  District 7 is among the least hit with 0.03% distressed listings (132 listins and 4 REOs/Short Sales). As we approach the fall season, one can expect to see continued price and volume decline.

What do you think?  Do you agree or disagree?


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Real Estate is still a solid Long-Term Investment

Despite the recent slowdown of the housing market, a closer examination of the data reveals that on average, these same markets appreciated in value by more than 50 percent over the past five years.

It’s important to keep things in perspective, because the current housing price correction is most pronounced in the once super-heated markets in California, Nevada, Florida and Arizona. However, while home values in Los Angeles fell 5.7 percent in the last year — even with this loss prices in L.A. are up 88.9 percent since 2002. In Miami, home prices dropped 7.8 percent between August 2006 and August 2007 while showing a price appreciation of 89.2 percent during the past five years.

The same pattern holds true in Phoenix and Las Vegas, which each posted yearly declines of 8 percent and 7.6 percent, respectively. However, home values surged 80.2 percent in Phoenix during the past five years and 83.2 percent in Las Vegas.

While housing is a cyclical business, experience shows that over time, home values will stabilize and then move upward with the next recovery.

Homeownership as a long-term investment has a track record that is virtually unmatched by any other purchase in terms of its real benefits. Home owners today have a combined $11 trillion in equity in their homes, against which they can borrow to help pay for college tuition, medical expenses and other needs. And housing offers important tax incentives to make owning a home more affordable

.Home Price Indices


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